Violent crime is both a power law (dominated by a tiny minority) and locality phenomena. High homicide rates are concentrated in under-policed fiscal-sink localities (localities where government expenditure is systematically higher than revenue).
Anti-police activism after George Floyd died — in a context of media concentrating its reporting on police killings that fitted its “structural racism” narrative — led to police retreat from such localities, driving down clearance rates and so increasing homicides. As folk have realised how disastrous that was, policing of such localities is recovering, so clearance rates are going up, hence homicide rates are falling.
Violent crime is both a power law (dominated by a tiny minority) and locality phenomena. High homicide rates are concentrated in under-policed fiscal-sink localities (localities where government expenditure is systematically higher than revenue).
Anti-police activism after George Floyd died — in a context of media concentrating its reporting on police killings that fitted its “structural racism” narrative — led to police retreat from such localities, driving down clearance rates and so increasing homicides. As folk have realised how disastrous that was, policing of such localities is recovering, so clearance rates are going up, hence homicide rates are falling.
https://www.lorenzofromoz.net/p/race-and-other-annoyances
What is unique to Memphis and D.C.?