Hi Jeff: A 44 percent increase in violent crime via the National Crime Victimization Survey per you, The Marshall Project and other sources for 2022 is, to my knowledge, the largest increase in violent crime in the nation's history. If BJS is stating that violent crime is essentially unchanged for 2023, the huge increase continues.
Gallup just put out their world study of their measure of fear of crime. It increased in two regions of the world, the US-Canada and Sub-Saharan Africa. It's down throughout the rest of the world.
Reported crime is up considerably in Canada but not in the US "but" Canada requires police participation in collecting crime data and is probably more efficient because of smaller numbers.
I understand a reliance on the small percentage of crimes reported to police in the US and I understand the difficulties of fully participating in the FBI's NIBRS and I understand that police reporting is voluntary.
But for a variety of reasons, the National Crime Victimization Survey was declared over 50 years ago as far superior count of national crimes compared to crimes reported to law enforcement.
Per Gallup and per the NCVS, something just doesn't add up or make sense, especially when considering the multiple flaws of crimes reported to law enforcement. We're the only section of the world (beyond an area of Africa) to record an increase in fear? Reported crime is up in Canada, and Mexico but it's down here?
I don't doubt your data on homicides but that could be nothing more than a reaction to the considerable increases in murder in past years. No crime category stays the same forever.
For those of us trying to understand national crime, the data leads us in multiple directions.
Hi Jeff: A 44 percent increase in violent crime via the National Crime Victimization Survey per you, The Marshall Project and other sources for 2022 is, to my knowledge, the largest increase in violent crime in the nation's history. If BJS is stating that violent crime is essentially unchanged for 2023, the huge increase continues.
Gallup just put out their world study of their measure of fear of crime. It increased in two regions of the world, the US-Canada and Sub-Saharan Africa. It's down throughout the rest of the world.
Reported crime is up considerably in Canada but not in the US "but" Canada requires police participation in collecting crime data and is probably more efficient because of smaller numbers.
I understand a reliance on the small percentage of crimes reported to police in the US and I understand the difficulties of fully participating in the FBI's NIBRS and I understand that police reporting is voluntary.
But for a variety of reasons, the National Crime Victimization Survey was declared over 50 years ago as far superior count of national crimes compared to crimes reported to law enforcement.
Per Gallup and per the NCVS, something just doesn't add up or make sense, especially when considering the multiple flaws of crimes reported to law enforcement. We're the only section of the world (beyond an area of Africa) to record an increase in fear? Reported crime is up in Canada, and Mexico but it's down here?
I don't doubt your data on homicides but that could be nothing more than a reaction to the considerable increases in murder in past years. No crime category stays the same forever.
For those of us trying to understand national crime, the data leads us in multiple directions.
Best, Len.
Do you have a sense of what is going on in Washington state that means its trends are moving opposite the rest of the country so dramatically?
Jeff - does West Virginia report stats ?