I tend to focus on homicide rates in Boston and Philadelphia because they are readily available to me. Boston's rate is so low that it probably not generalizable but after a crazy low first six months of 2024 (5 homicides) the numbers reverted to recent averages (19 during the 2nd half of the year). Philly's numbers are pretty spectacular for the year and even appeared they had a shot at an all time low earlier in the Fall but seem to have inched back up in recent months.
Agree with all of this. Can’t find a reason for the declines to reverse, but expect a plateau now. Possible upticks in Philadelphia and Baltimore (but I’m guessing).
Love this Jeff! One idea for 2025 could be regional analysis versus national (i.e. Southeast States, Cities of a certain size).
I tend to focus on homicide rates in Boston and Philadelphia because they are readily available to me. Boston's rate is so low that it probably not generalizable but after a crazy low first six months of 2024 (5 homicides) the numbers reverted to recent averages (19 during the 2nd half of the year). Philly's numbers are pretty spectacular for the year and even appeared they had a shot at an all time low earlier in the Fall but seem to have inched back up in recent months.
Agree with all of this. Can’t find a reason for the declines to reverse, but expect a plateau now. Possible upticks in Philadelphia and Baltimore (but I’m guessing).
*pats self on the back