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Leonard Sipes's avatar

Hi Jeff: Overall, "reported" crime is down, but as you know, FBI preliminary data in the past has been incorrect about the degree of change, along with one of three private analysts.

The majority of cities measured by the Major City Chiefs Association has at least one category where violent crime increased.

The National Crime Victimization Survey, for its last official report in 2023, still ranks as the nation's largest increase in rates of violence.

Only a tiny percentage of crime is reported, according to the FBI and the Bureau of Justice Statistics.

Per the FBI's latest report, computer crime-identity theft is up 30 percent in its latest report. Per Gallup, fear of crime is at record highs.

So while your analysis is welcome, and is good news (and I thank you for it-it's a valuable service), the overall crime picture (as you acknowledge) is far more complex.

Best, Len.

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empty's avatar

Lots of skepticism in this comment sections - which is fair. We ought to be sure our stats are solid before we ascribe too much weight to them. However I will say, I find crime stats to be incredibly important politically as otherwise we only have individuals perception of crime which can be skewed by media coverage and/or personal experience. And fear of crime is always used as a reason to increase the militarization of the police, vilify the unhoused, and generally create a sense of distrust in the public. So I guess my point is that in this case, imperfect data is better than no data.

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